Pogon Szczecin vs Gornik Polkowice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogon Szczecin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TSP
0 - 3
POG
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
POG
3 - 1
ARK
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PLO
0 - 0
POG
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
POG
1 - 0
ZAW
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GKS
0 - 2
POG
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gornik Polkowice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
POL
3 - 2
FLO
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
TSP
1 - 1
POL
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
POL
3 - 1
RUC
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ARK
2 - 1
POL
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
POL
3 - 2
OLI
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |