Pogon Siedlce vs Olimpia Elblag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pogon Siedlce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STO
0 - 0
POG
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
POG
2 - 0
STA
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
POG
1 - 1
LKS
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
POG
1 - 1
MMM
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
POG
0 - 1
WIS
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
OLI
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
KOT
2 - 0
OLI
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
LPO
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
ARK
2 - 1
OLI
72%
17%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |