Poblense vs UB Conquense analysis


27	ELO	41
-13.5%	Tilt	-9.6%
5499º	General ELO ranking	5429º
179º	Country ELO ranking	176º
ELO win probability

25.5%

Poblense

27%

Draw

47.5%

UB Conquense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

25.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%

27%

Draw

0-0

9.4%

1-1

12.7%

2-2

4.3%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

27%

47.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Poblense

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Jun. 2013	UBC 3 - 1 PBL 71% 19% 11%	28	40	12	0
15 Jun. 2013	PBL 1 - 0 COR 62% 22% 17%	28	21	7	0
08 Jun. 2013	COR 2 - 1 PBL 26% 26% 48%	30	19	11	-2
01 Jun. 2013	PBL 2 - 1 LEI 45% 26% 29%	29	30	1	+1
26 May. 2013	LEI 1 - 2 PBL 47% 27% 26%	27	31	4	+2

Matches

UB Conquense

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Jun. 2013	UBC 3 - 1 PBL 71% 19% 11%	40	28	12	0
16 Jun. 2013	UBC 1 - 0 DBN 53% 24% 22%	39	36	3	+1
09 Jun. 2013	DBN 0 - 0 UBC 35% 28% 38%	39	36	3	0
02 Jun. 2013	UBC 1 - 1 MAN 64% 21% 16%	40	32	8	-1
26 May. 2013	MAN 0 - 2 UBC 35% 27% 38%	39	34	5	+1