Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
Poblense vs SD Portmany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
PBL
1 - 0
BNS
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
AND
1 - 1
PBL
47%
28%
25%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
UEP
0 - 3
PBL
52%
28%
20%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
PBL
5 - 2
ATB
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
CLL
1 - 1
PBL
47%
28%
25%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SD Portmany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
POR
3 - 0
SAL
74%
18%
9%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
SDF
2 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
POR
2 - 0
SLL
71%
19%
10%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
MHN
2 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
POR
1 - 0
MAR
62%
24%
14%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |