EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-6
Plymouth Argyle vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
PLY
2 - 1
ROC
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
BUR
2 - 1
PLY
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
PLY
1 - 3
NOR
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
MIL
1 - 1
PLY
38%
28%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
PLY
3 - 1
BPO
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
OPA
1 - 2
WAT
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
BRA
1 - 3
OPA
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
OPA
3 - 0
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
CHA
1 - 0
OPA
67%
20%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1998 |
OPA
0 - 1
IPS
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |