Plymouth Argyle vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1959 |
ASV
2 - 0
PLY
70%
17%
13%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
PLY
0 - 0
SUN
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
OPA
1 - 0
PLY
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
PLY
2 - 3
STO
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
PLY
6 - 4
CHA
29%
24%
48%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1959 |
LIN
6 - 2
DER
54%
22%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1959 |
MID
3 - 2
LIN
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
LIN
2 - 0
SHE
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1959 |
HUL
0 - 5
LIN
63%
19%
18%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
LIN
0 - 0
ASV
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |