Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PLY
2 - 1
CRA
57%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
PLY
2 - 1
BAR
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
PLY
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 1
BRO
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WYC
1 - 2
PLY
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
EXE
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
OPA
1 - 2
EXE
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
EXE
0 - 2
WYC
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
STA
4 - 2
EXE
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 0
HAR
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |