Plymouth Argyle vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
HUR
2 - 3
PLY
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
PLY
1 - 0
GIL
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
PLY
2 - 3
OXF
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 2
PLY
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
PLY
1 - 0
MKD
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ROC
3 - 3
CRE
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
CRE
1 - 1
FLE
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 2
CRE
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
CRE
2 - 1
PLY
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CRE
2 - 1
NOR
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |