Plymouth Argyle vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
LIN
1 - 1
PLY
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
GRI
5 - 1
PLY
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
PLY
4 - 1
BRA
53%
21%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1933 |
PNE
1 - 1
PLY
73%
15%
13%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1933 |
PLY
1 - 0
OLD
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
BCF
2 - 1
MUD
60%
21%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
BCF
2 - 5
BPO
44%
22%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
SOU
1 - 0
BCF
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1933 |
BCF
3 - 3
FUL
53%
20%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1933 |
HUL
3 - 1
BCF
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |