Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
14º
9º
21
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
UMO
1 - 2
PLA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
LUZ
1 - 1
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
MWA
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
FEN
1 - 4
PLA
47%
28%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
DAN
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 3
DEF
23%
25%
53%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 0
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 0
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEF
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |