Plaza Colonia vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
PLA
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 0
CEL
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 0
PLA
53%
25%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
BOS
39%
30%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 2
PLA
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 1
BOS
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 2
DEF
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 3
PEÑ
27%
28%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 3
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 2
PLA
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |