Plaza Amador vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
26.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
5º
4º
23
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 4
AMA
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
UME
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SFF
2 - 0
AMA
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
AMA
49%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 1
SUN
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 2
SUN
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 0
AFC
39%
28%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 1
UME
58%
26%
16%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
IND
5 - 1
AFC
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |