Oberliga NOFV Süd Jor. 14

VFC Plauen vs Dresden-Nord analysis

VFC Plauen Dresden-Nord
39 ELO 38
-1.1% Tilt 9.2%
5196º General ELO ranking 33281º
174º Country ELO ranking 1485º
ELO win probability
55.9%
VFC Plauen
23.5%
Draw
20.7%
Dresden-Nord

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
VFC Plauen
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
Dresden-Nord
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

VFC Plauen
Dresden-Nord
Eilenburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VFC Plauen
VFC Plauen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2007
BUD
Budissa Bautzen
2 - 1
VFC Plauen
PLA
19%
22%
59%
42 26 16 0
09 Nov. 2007
PLA
VFC Plauen
2 - 0
Auerbach
AUE
59%
23%
19%
42 36 6 0
03 Nov. 2007
MEU
Meuselwitz
2 - 3
VFC Plauen
PLA
34%
25%
41%
41 34 7 +1
27 Oct. 2007
PLA
VFC Plauen
2 - 0
Sachsen Leipzig
SAC
54%
24%
22%
40 37 3 +1
20 Oct. 2007
CAR
Carl Zeiss Jena II
1 - 3
VFC Plauen
PLA
29%
26%
45%
39 31 8 +1

Matches

Dresden-Nord
Dresden-Nord
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2007
DRE
Dresden-Nord
1 - 0
Gera 03
GER
60%
21%
19%
36 27 9 0
10 Nov. 2007
POS
Possneck
0 - 0
Dresden-Nord
DRE
25%
26%
49%
37 24 13 -1
03 Nov. 2007
DRE
Dresden-Nord
3 - 1
Markranstädt
MAR
56%
23%
21%
36 30 6 +1
28 Oct. 2007
HAL
Hallescher FC
2 - 0
Dresden-Nord
DRE
48%
26%
27%
37 37 0 -1
20 Oct. 2007
DRE
Dresden-Nord
1 - 0
Germania Halberstadt
GER
46%
26%
29%
36 36 0 +1
X