Plácido de Castro vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
PLA
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
PLA
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
PLA
2 - 0
NAC
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PLA
1 - 0
CUI
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
PLA
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIL
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
PLA
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
PEN
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEN
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
CUI
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -3 |