Plabennec vs Vitré analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
11º
11º
39
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
80% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PON
0 - 0
PLA
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 1
GRE
8%
18%
74%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
7 - 2
PLA
14%
19%
67%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 0
VAN
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vitré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
4 - 0
DOL
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
3 - 1
PON
72%
17%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DIN
3 - 2
VIT
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 0
PLA
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPM
48%
22%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |