National 3 Group C Round 11

Plabennec vs Guingamp II analysis

Plabennec Guingamp II
27 ELO 46
2% Tilt -1.3%
8892º General ELO ranking 5433º
311º Country ELO ranking 123º
ELO win probability
17.2%
Plabennec
19.7%
Draw
63%
Guingamp II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
Plabennec
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
63%
Win probability
Guingamp II
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Plabennec
-44%
-1%
Guingamp II

Points and table prediction

Plabennec
Their league position
Guingamp II
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
14º
13º
49
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient II
49
52
70.5%
AF Virois
48
51
38.5%
Guingamp II
49
49
53%
Stade Rennais II
41
43
89%
Saint-Pierre Milizac
40
41
89%
Union Sportive Fougères
34
35
61.5%
OC Cesson
34
34
56%
Vannes
32
34
64%
Pontivy
32
32
100%
Ergué-Gaberic
10º
31
31
10º
85%
Lannion
11º
30
30
11º
62.5%
FC Flérien
12º
29
29
12º
62.5%
Plabennec
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Saint-Lô Manche
14º
18
18
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Plabennec
Guingamp II
Promotion
0% 6%
Mid-table
0% 94%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Plabennec
Guingamp II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Plabennec
Plabennec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2024
CES
OC Cesson
3 - 0
Plabennec
PLA
45%
22%
33%
29 29 0 0
23 Nov. 2024
PLA
Plabennec
1 - 4
AF Virois
AFV
15%
19%
66%
31 46 15 -2
09 Nov. 2024
PON
Pontivy
3 - 0
Plabennec
PLA
41%
24%
35%
33 33 0 -2
02 Nov. 2024
PLA
Plabennec
0 - 1
Vannes
VAN
38%
22%
39%
33 37 4 0
19 Oct. 2024
USF
Union Sportive Fougères
3 - 2
Plabennec
PLA
42%
23%
35%
34 32 2 -1

Matches

Guingamp II
Guingamp II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2024
GUI
Guingamp II
2 - 0
Ergué-Gaberic
ERG
77%
14%
10%
45 28 17 0
23 Nov. 2024
LOR
Lorient II
1 - 0
Guingamp II
GUI
55%
23%
22%
46 51 5 -1
09 Nov. 2024
GUI
Guingamp II
1 - 1
Saint-Lô Manche
SAI
78%
15%
7%
46 31 15 0
02 Nov. 2024
LAN
Lannion
0 - 2
Guingamp II
GUI
16%
22%
62%
45 31 14 +1
19 Oct. 2024
STA
Stade Rennais II
2 - 3
Guingamp II
GUI
52%
22%
26%
44 45 1 +1