Plabennec vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
63%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
14º
13º
49
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CES
3 - 0
PLA
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 4
AFV
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PON
3 - 0
PLA
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
VAN
38%
22%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
USF
3 - 2
PLA
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 0
ERG
77%
14%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
GUI
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
SAI
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 2
GUI
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 3
GUI
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |