Pistoiese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
JS2
3 - 2
PIS
70%
18%
11%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PIS
1 - 2
OLB
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LEO
1 - 0
PIS
55%
25%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PIS
1 - 0
PON
40%
27%
34%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ABN
1 - 0
PIS
48%
27%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
ASL
4 - 5
ABN
23%
28%
50%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ASL
0 - 1
GER
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
OLB
0 - 0
ASL
54%
25%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASL
65%
21%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ASL
0 - 1
JS2
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |