Pioneros de Cancún vs Ciervos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
3º
3º
6
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pioneros de Cancún
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PDC
0 - 0
ALE
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ZIT
0 - 1
PDC
25%
26%
48%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
PDC
1 - 1
THM
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PDC
0 - 1
MAZ
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
CAA
0 - 1
PDC
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ciervos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CIE
2 - 4
MAZ
13%
20%
67%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
4 - 0
CIE
78%
16%
6%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
CAA
0 - 6
CIE
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +3 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CIE
0 - 2
HUR
30%
20%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -3 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
CIE
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |