Pioneers vs Alexandria SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
16º
14º
34
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
82.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pioneers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
KAF
1 - 0
PFC
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
PFC
1 - 0
TAN
23%
26%
50%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
DSC
3 - 1
PFC
65%
21%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
PFC
0 - 0
HEA
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ELS
0 - 0
PFC
46%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alexandria SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 0
OLY
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 3
PRO
29%
26%
45%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
KAF
2 - 1
ASC
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 0
TAN
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
DSC
2 - 0
ASC
58%
24%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |