Pinheiros vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinheiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 3
PIN
6%
13%
81%
|
65 | 20 | 45 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PIN
0 - 1
RIO
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
RVV
2 - 0
PIN
14%
20%
67%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
PIN
0 - 1
REA
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
PIN
5%
11%
85%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
SER
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SER
3 - 0
GEL
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 2
SER
46%
24%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
RVV
43%
24%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
REA
0 - 2
SER
52%
23%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |