Pineto vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 4
PIN
24%
21%
55%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 0
CES
10%
21%
70%
|
33 | 65 | 32 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
PIN
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 1
ASD
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 0
ISE
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAV
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ISE
0 - 1
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 2
REC
28%
27%
46%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
JES
2 - 1
CAS
40%
26%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
FOR
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |