Pilas vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+925%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pilas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
4 - 3
PIL
57%
25%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
PIL
5 - 2
CAM
51%
26%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PIL
3 - 2
PRI
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 0
PIL
58%
23%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PIL
1 - 1
ARH
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 1
PAR
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ARH
1 - 0
CAS
50%
24%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 1
ANT
37%
28%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
MON
2 - 1
CAS
51%
27%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
CAS
1 - 1
EGA
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |