CAF Champions . Last 16
Global 2-6
Pikine vs USM Alger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pikine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OLY
4 - 1
PIK
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
PIK
0 - 2
OUA
49%
29%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
PIK
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
USM
5 - 1
PIK
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DIA
0 - 1
PIK
58%
26%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HUS
0 - 0
USM
29%
31%
40%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
USM
5 - 1
PIK
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
USM
1 - 1
CHL
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
ORA
0 - 0
USM
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FED
3 - 1
USM
8%
18%
74%
|
75 | 15 | 60 | 0 |