Picerno vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
PIC
0 - 2
BIS
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 1
PIC
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
PIC
1 - 2
VIR
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
PIC
6 - 2
AFR
68%
17%
15%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 1
PIC
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 3
TER
31%
25%
45%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 3
TER
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
OLB
4 - 1
RIE
33%
26%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ROM
7 - 0
RIE
90%
8%
2%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
FRO
3 - 0
RIE
81%
14%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |