Pianese vs Deruta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ANC
0 - 2
PIA
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 2
PIS
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SCA
1 - 0
PIA
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 1
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VFC
3 - 0
PIA
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
DER
2 - 0
ASD
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
DER
0 - 3
VOL
42%
26%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DER
0 - 1
OST
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 3
DER
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |