Piacenza vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PON
1 - 0
PIA
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PIA
0 - 2
GRO
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 2
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
CTT
3 - 1
PIA
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
PIA
0 - 3
SAM
8%
16%
76%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 2
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ABN
0 - 0
LIV
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 2
PRO
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
LIV
0 - 2
EMP
16%
24%
61%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
PES
1 - 0
LIV
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |