Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
NER
1 - 2
PHU
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
DCU
2 - 2
PHU
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
PHU
2 - 1
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
PHU
3 - 0
CIN
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 1
PHU
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 0
AFC
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 1
RBN
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 1
TOR
14%
22%
64%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
NER
0 - 1
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 1
PHU
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |