Philadelphia Union vs DC United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
PHU
2 - 2
MON
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
PHU
1 - 0
SES
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
GAL
5 - 1
PHU
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
PHU
0 - 0
ROC
74%
18%
9%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
PHU
1 - 2
NYC
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 0
DCU
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
CFS
0 - 1
DCU
38%
27%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
DCU
2 - 1
NER
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
PIT
1 - 3
DCU
16%
22%
62%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
ORL
1 - 0
DCU
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |