Cup Bulgaria 1/16

Montana vs Spartak Varna analysis

Montana Spartak Varna
49 ELO 64
-10.4% Tilt -1.8%
2293º General ELO ranking 1923º
15º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
21.7%
Montana
25.1%
Draw
53.3%
Spartak Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
Montana
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.3%
Win probability
Spartak Varna
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Montana
-1%
-14%
Spartak Varna

ELO progression

Montana
Spartak Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Montana
Montana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2006
VIK
Vikhar Gorublyane
1 - 0
Montana
MON
50%
24%
27%
49 49 0 0
28 Oct. 2006
MON
Montana
3 - 0
Minyor Bobov dol
MIN
59%
23%
18%
49 44 5 0
21 Oct. 2006
MON
Montana
2 - 1
Hebar Pazardzhik
HEB
43%
27%
30%
48 49 1 +1
14 Oct. 2006
BEL
Belite Orli
2 - 1
Montana
MON
48%
26%
27%
49 49 0 -1
30 Sep. 2006
MON
Montana
1 - 1
Vidima-Rakovski
VID
27%
28%
46%
49 60 11 0

Matches

Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2006
ROD
Rodopa Smolyan
3 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
49%
26%
25%
65 66 1 0
30 Oct. 2006
SVA
Spartak Varna
1 - 0
Marek
MAR
38%
28%
34%
64 74 10 +1
23 Oct. 2006
VIH
Vihren
2 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
65%
21%
14%
65 72 7 -1
14 Oct. 2006
SVA
Spartak Varna
2 - 1
Chernomorets Sofia
CHE
74%
17%
9%
65 50 15 0
01 Oct. 2006
LSO
Lokomotiv Sofia
2 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
69%
20%
11%
66 79 13 -1