Petrovac vs Arsenal Tivat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
6º
50
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IKD
1 - 2
PET
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 4
SUT
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
PET
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
PET
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PET
0 - 0
RUD
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 0
FKA
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SUT
2 - 1
FKA
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FKA
0 - 2
RUD
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
BOK
2 - 3
FKA
26%
25%
48%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DEC
2 - 4
FKA
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +2 |