Petrolina vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 1
PET
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PET
8 - 0
SER
78%
16%
7%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
PET
1 - 1
SED
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FEC
1 - 0
PET
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PET
2 - 0
PES
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
2 - 0
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
BEL
32%
27%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
CHA
41%
28%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 1
POR
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
YPI
46%
26%
28%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |