Petrolina vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
72.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
PET
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PET
0 - 1
BEL
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PES
1 - 1
PET
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
PET
0 - 1
POR
39%
25%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
PET
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 1
SER
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 3
NAU
10%
19%
70%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 1
PES
88%
10%
3%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 1
YPI
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
NAU
9%
17%
74%
|
74 | 40 | 34 | 0 |