Petrolina vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
YPI
0 - 1
PET
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
PET
1 - 0
BEL
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
PET
48%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
PET
1 - 0
ARA
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
SAN
22%
23%
54%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
4 - 2
AME
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
CEN
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
POR
2 - 0
AME
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |