Peterhead vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
61.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
10º
79
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 1
PET
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
PET
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PET
1 - 1
EDI
13%
21%
66%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
ALL
13%
20%
66%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
QOS
2 - 0
PET
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
CFC
61%
19%
20%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 2
CLY
73%
19%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FAL
0 - 1
DUN
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
KHE
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
DUN
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |