Challenge Cup 1/16

Peterhead vs Dumbarton analysis

Peterhead Dumbarton
54 ELO 54
-4.6% Tilt -3.5%
3560º General ELO ranking 3930º
44º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
34.5%
Peterhead
23.6%
Draw
41.9%
Dumbarton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
Peterhead
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.9%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Peterhead
Dumbarton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2024
EDI
Edinburgh City
0 - 4
Peterhead
PET
19%
22%
59%
53 37 16 0
24 Aug. 2024
SPA
Spartans
0 - 0
Peterhead
PET
58%
23%
19%
53 60 7 0
17 Aug. 2024
PET
Peterhead
1 - 0
Stranraer
STR
59%
22%
19%
52 47 5 +1
10 Aug. 2024
PET
Peterhead
2 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
51%
26%
23%
52 51 1 0
03 Aug. 2024
BRA
Bonnyrigg Rose
0 - 1
Peterhead
PET
42%
24%
34%
51 48 3 +1

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2024
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 2
Kelty Hearts
KHE
39%
25%
36%
55 55 0 0
24 Aug. 2024
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
55%
24%
22%
55 50 5 0
17 Aug. 2024
COV
Cove Rangers
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
41%
24%
35%
55 53 2 0
13 Aug. 2024
DUM
Dumbarton
4 - 0
Berwick Rangers
BER
61%
21%
18%
54 47 7 +1
10 Aug. 2024
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 3
Alloa Athletic
ALL
25%
25%
50%
54 60 6 0