Peterhead vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EDI
0 - 4
PET
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
PET
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
FOR
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
PET
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 2
KHE
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 2
ARB
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COV
1 - 1
DUM
41%
24%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
4 - 0
BER
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
3 - 3
ALL
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |