Second Division Round 29

Peterhead vs Ayr United analysis

Peterhead Ayr United
50 ELO 57
14.2% Tilt 8.1%
3646º General ELO ranking 842º
42º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
38.4%
Peterhead
25.1%
Draw
36.5%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
Peterhead
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.5%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Peterhead
-17%
-13%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Peterhead
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peterhead
Peterhead
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2011
PET
Peterhead
1 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
44%
25%
31%
51 55 4 0
01 Mar. 2011
EAS
East Fife
3 - 1
Peterhead
PET
52%
24%
25%
52 52 0 -1
26 Feb. 2011
STE
Stenhousemuir
4 - 2
Peterhead
PET
33%
26%
42%
53 48 5 -1
22 Feb. 2011
DUM
Dumbarton
3 - 0
Peterhead
PET
42%
26%
32%
54 51 3 -1
19 Feb. 2011
PET
Peterhead
1 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
62%
21%
17%
55 50 5 -1

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
62%
22%
16%
56 51 5 0
05 Mar. 2011
AIR
Airdrieonians
0 - 5
Ayr United
AYR
40%
26%
34%
55 51 4 +1
01 Mar. 2011
STE
Stenhousemuir
3 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
33%
26%
41%
56 49 7 -1
26 Feb. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 0
Brechin City
BRE
34%
26%
40%
55 63 8 +1
23 Feb. 2011
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 4
East Fife
EAS
60%
22%
18%
57 51 6 -2