Championship Round 45

Peterborough United vs Watford analysis

Peterborough United Watford
65 ELO 70
35.3% Tilt 13.3%
1582º General ELO ranking 1054º
49º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
47%
Peterborough United
23.9%
Draw
29.1%
Watford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
Peterborough United
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.1%
Win probability
Watford
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Peterborough United
-25%
-8%
Watford

ELO progression

Peterborough United
Watford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Peterborough United
Peterborough United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2012
POS
Peterborough United
1 - 3
Southampton
SOU
31%
25%
45%
66 78 12 0
14 Apr. 2012
LEE
Leeds United
4 - 1
Peterborough United
POS
63%
20%
17%
66 70 4 0
09 Apr. 2012
POS
Peterborough United
0 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
59%
22%
20%
67 68 1 -1
07 Apr. 2012
COV
Coventry City
2 - 2
Peterborough United
POS
39%
26%
35%
67 64 3 0
31 Mar. 2012
POS
Peterborough United
1 - 0
Leicester
LEI
36%
24%
39%
66 76 10 +1

Matches

Watford
Watford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2012
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 2
Watford
WAT
52%
25%
24%
70 72 2 0
14 Apr. 2012
WAT
Watford
1 - 1
Hull City
HUL
54%
25%
22%
70 71 1 0
09 Apr. 2012
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 1
Watford
WAT
61%
22%
17%
70 76 6 0
06 Apr. 2012
WAT
Watford
0 - 2
Blackpool
BPO
38%
25%
37%
71 76 5 -1
31 Mar. 2012
LEE
Leeds United
0 - 2
Watford
WAT
62%
21%
17%
70 72 2 +1