League One Playoff . Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Peterborough United vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peterborough United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
POS
0 - 0
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
STF
2 - 4
POS
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
POS
4 - 1
CUM
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
POS
25%
25%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
POS
1 - 0
COV
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
MKD
1 - 3
LEY
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
LEY
2 - 0
TRA
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
LEY
1 - 3
WOL
33%
28%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 1
LEY
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LEY
5 - 1
GIL
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |