Pesch vs Deutz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
17.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PES
5 - 1
FVW
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TMA
1 - 3
PES
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PES
5 - 1
HRH
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SPF
1 - 1
PES
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PES
2 - 3
MER
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TMA
0 - 2
SVD
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SVD
0 - 0
HRH
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SPF
2 - 0
SVD
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SVD
0 - 4
MER
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SVD
2 - 1
SCF
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |