Pesch vs FV Wiehl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
3.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FBO
1 - 0
PES
11%
15%
74%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
PES
2 - 1
SNS
90%
7%
3%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PES
4 - 0
TOP
84%
11%
6%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RHE
1 - 1
PES
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PES
5 - 1
TMO
85%
10%
6%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FV Wiehl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FVW
3 - 1
SVD
67%
18%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SVS
2 - 2
FVW
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
FVW
1 - 0
SHN
22%
20%
58%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BOR
4 - 2
FVW
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FVW
2 - 1
BWF
25%
20%
55%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |