Perugia vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CRO
2 - 1
PRG
42%
28%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
PRG
0 - 0
AVE
46%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LEO
0 - 0
PRG
33%
30%
37%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
PRG
41%
28%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PRG
0 - 1
FRO
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
ACD
2 - 1
TER
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ACD
0 - 0
VIR
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
CAT
5 - 1
ACD
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 0
FRO
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
CTT
0 - 1
ACD
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |