Perugia vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
USC
0 - 3
PRG
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 1
NUO
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FRO
0 - 0
PRG
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PRG
2 - 3
ASC
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
PRG
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 3
ASC
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 2
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 3
BRE
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
USA
3 - 2
GEN
12%
20%
69%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
PIS
2 - 0
USA
66%
22%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |