Serie B Round 18

Perugia vs Ternana Calcio analysis

Perugia Ternana Calcio
71 ELO 69
-2.5% Tilt -3.9%
1270º General ELO ranking 544º
52º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Perugia
25.9%
Draw
32.2%
Ternana Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
Perugia
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.2%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Perugia
-9%
-9%
Ternana Calcio

ELO progression

Perugia
Ternana Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Perugia
Perugia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2021
PAR
Parma
1 - 1
Perugia
PRG
43%
27%
30%
71 71 0 0
03 Dec. 2021
PRG
Perugia
1 - 0
Vicenza
VIC
57%
24%
20%
71 62 9 0
30 Nov. 2021
PIS
Pisa SC
1 - 1
Perugia
PRG
45%
27%
28%
70 72 2 +1
27 Nov. 2021
PRG
Perugia
1 - 1
Cittadella
CTT
37%
28%
35%
70 75 5 0
20 Nov. 2021
PRG
Perugia
2 - 0
Crotone
CRO
43%
26%
31%
69 68 1 +1

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2021
VNZ
Venezia
3 - 1
Ternana Calcio
TER
51%
23%
26%
70 75 5 0
10 Dec. 2021
TER
Ternana Calcio
0 - 2
Benevento
BEN
37%
26%
37%
71 77 6 -1
04 Dec. 2021
FRO
Frosinone
1 - 1
Ternana Calcio
TER
45%
26%
29%
71 75 4 0
29 Nov. 2021
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 0
Crotone
CRO
52%
24%
25%
70 67 3 +1
26 Nov. 2021
LEC
Lecce
3 - 3
Ternana Calcio
TER
64%
20%
17%
70 77 7 0