Perugia vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
FRO
2 - 1
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 1
SPE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 2
PRG
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 0
MOD
34%
28%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
VIC
3 - 1
PRG
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 2
VIR
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 2
CTT
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
VIR
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 0
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FRO
2 - 1
VIR
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |