Perugia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
PRG
3 - 0
MOD
71%
20%
10%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIS
0 - 1
PRG
8%
20%
72%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
PRG
4 - 0
LEG
84%
13%
4%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PRG
4 - 2
MAN
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PRG
3 - 0
ARZ
80%
15%
5%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SSS
0 - 4
FCS
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 1
SSS
52%
24%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SSS
1 - 3
IMO
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
SSS
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SSS
2 - 2
FAN
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |