Perugia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 0
PRG
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 1
ASG
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
NOC
2 - 2
PRG
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAV
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PRG
2 - 2
PIS
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 2
FCC
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
LEC
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 2
LAQ
89%
9%
2%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
LEC
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
LEC
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |