Perugia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
46.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
PRG
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAM
22%
30%
49%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 1
USF
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
PIS
0 - 1
PRG
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
GEN
2 - 1
PIS
83%
13%
5%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
GEN
7 - 0
REG
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
UDI
3 - 0
GEN
52%
26%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
VER
2 - 0
GEN
21%
29%
49%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
CAS
0 - 4
GEN
4%
17%
79%
|
82 | 31 | 51 | 0 |