Perugia vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
USV
1 - 1
PRG
11%
23%
66%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PRG
0 - 2
FCC
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
APR
0 - 1
PRG
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PRG
2 - 1
NEA
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GIU
0 - 1
PRG
16%
25%
59%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
PAG
20%
26%
54%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
2 - 2
GAV
40%
26%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
2 - 1
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
USV
2 - 2
GAV
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
MIL
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |