Perugia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 0
PRG
51%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 2
PES
46%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 2
PRG
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PRG
0 - 0
LAT
56%
25%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
VER
1 - 0
PRG
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
CTT
3 - 2
CAT
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
FRO
1 - 1
CTT
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CTT
0 - 1
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 0
CTT
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CTT
1 - 1
BRE
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |