Perugia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
PRG
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
PRG
2 - 1
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
PRG
1 - 0
USA
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
PRG
1 - 0
SPA
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAR
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
CTT
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUO
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 4
NOV
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
TRA
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |